Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $18,989$ on 2020-10-08
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $310$ on 2020-10-08
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,206$ on 2020-10-08
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $97,532$ on 2020-10-08
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{89,607.6}{1 + 10^{-0.016 (t - 98.5)}}\) (asimptote \(89,607.6\))
Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $5,892$ on 2020-10-08
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,774.9}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 52.1)}}\) (asimptote \(5,774.9\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $91,640$ on 2020-10-08
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $15,221$ on 2020-10-08
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{12,029.7}{1 + 10^{-0.010 (t - 60.8)}}\) (asimptote \(12,029.7\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $275$ on 2020-10-08
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{254.4}{1 + 10^{-0.045 (t - 31.8)}}\) (asimptote \(254.4\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3,083$ on 2020-10-08
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $11,345$ on 2020-10-08
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{8,138.9}{1 + 10^{-0.023 (t - 56.3)}}\) (asimptote \(8,138.9\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $346$ on 2020-10-08
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{331.8}{1 + 10^{-0.048 (t - 36.5)}}\) (asimptote \(331.8\))
Start date 2020-03-05 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,499$ on 2020-10-08
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $31,648$ on 2020-10-08
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $665$ on 2020-10-08
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{616.1}{1 + 10^{-0.037 (t - 35.2)}}\) (asimptote \(616.1\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $5,614$ on 2020-10-08
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $3,267$ on 2020-10-08
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,995.3}{1 + 10^{-0.057 (t - 31.5)}}\) (asimptote \(1,995.3\))
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-10-08
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10.0}{1 + 10^{-0.073 (t - 22.3)}}\) (asimptote \(10.0\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $846$ on 2020-10-08
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $143,596$ on 2020-10-08
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{181,370.8}{1 + 10^{-0.005 (t - 177.6)}}\) (asimptote \(181,370.8\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10,126$ on 2020-10-08
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,782.5}{1 + 10^{-0.049 (t - 39.1)}}\) (asimptote \(9,782.5\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $113,489$ on 2020-10-08
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $564,502$ on 2020-10-08
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{382,028.1}{1 + 10^{-0.013 (t - 77.6)}}\) (asimptote \(382,028.1\))
Start date 2020-03-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $42,682$ on 2020-10-08
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{41,052.4}{1 + 10^{-0.035 (t - 45.8)}}\) (asimptote \(41,052.4\))
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $519,346$ on 2020-10-08
Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $338,398$ on 2020-10-08
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{261,037.0}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 48.4)}}\) (asimptote \(261,037.0\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $36,083$ on 2020-10-08
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{34,976.9}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 47.1)}}\) (asimptote \(34,976.9\))
Start date 2020-02-23 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $65,952$ on 2020-10-08
