Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸

Confirmed⮸

Dead⮸

Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸

Active⮸

Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸

Confirmed⮸

Dead⮸

Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸

Active⮸

Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸

IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that the fit is good if it is shown.

The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.

Croatia⮸

Population $4,105,267$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $18,989$ on 2020-10-08

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $310$ on 2020-10-08

Active⮸

Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $2,206$ on 2020-10-08

Sweden⮸

Population $10,099,265$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $97,532$ on 2020-10-08

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{89,607.6}{1 + 10^{-0.016 (t - 98.5)}}\) (asimptote \(89,607.6\))

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $5,892$ on 2020-10-08

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,774.9}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 52.1)}}\) (asimptote \(5,774.9\))

Active⮸

Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $91,640$ on 2020-10-08

Norway⮸

Population $5,421,241$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $15,221$ on 2020-10-08

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{12,029.7}{1 + 10^{-0.010 (t - 60.8)}}\) (asimptote \(12,029.7\))

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $275$ on 2020-10-08

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{254.4}{1 + 10^{-0.045 (t - 31.8)}}\) (asimptote \(254.4\))

Active⮸

Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $3,083$ on 2020-10-08

Finland⮸

Population $5,540,720$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $11,345$ on 2020-10-08

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{8,138.9}{1 + 10^{-0.023 (t - 56.3)}}\) (asimptote \(8,138.9\))

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $346$ on 2020-10-08

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{331.8}{1 + 10^{-0.048 (t - 36.5)}}\) (asimptote \(331.8\))

Active⮸

Start date 2020-03-05 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $2,499$ on 2020-10-08

Denmark⮸

Population $5,792,202$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $31,648$ on 2020-10-08

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $665$ on 2020-10-08

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{616.1}{1 + 10^{-0.037 (t - 35.2)}}\) (asimptote \(616.1\))

Active⮸

Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $5,614$ on 2020-10-08

Iceland⮸

Population $341,243$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $3,267$ on 2020-10-08

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,995.3}{1 + 10^{-0.057 (t - 31.5)}}\) (asimptote \(1,995.3\))

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $10$ on 2020-10-08

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10.0}{1 + 10^{-0.073 (t - 22.3)}}\) (asimptote \(10.0\))

Active⮸

Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $846$ on 2020-10-08

Belgium⮸

Population $11,589,623$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $143,596$ on 2020-10-08

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{181,370.8}{1 + 10^{-0.005 (t - 177.6)}}\) (asimptote \(181,370.8\))

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $10,126$ on 2020-10-08

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,782.5}{1 + 10^{-0.049 (t - 39.1)}}\) (asimptote \(9,782.5\))

Active⮸

Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $113,489$ on 2020-10-08

United Kingdom⮸

Population $67,886,011$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $564,502$ on 2020-10-08

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{382,028.1}{1 + 10^{-0.013 (t - 77.6)}}\) (asimptote \(382,028.1\))

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-03-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $42,682$ on 2020-10-08

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{41,052.4}{1 + 10^{-0.035 (t - 45.8)}}\) (asimptote \(41,052.4\))

Active⮸

Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $519,346$ on 2020-10-08

Italy⮸

Population $60,461,826$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $338,398$ on 2020-10-08

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{261,037.0}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 48.4)}}\) (asimptote \(261,037.0\))

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $36,083$ on 2020-10-08

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{34,976.9}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 47.1)}}\) (asimptote \(34,976.9\))

Active⮸

Start date 2020-02-23 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $65,952$ on 2020-10-08